Supercomputer predicts how the premier league table top 6 would be like at the end of the season
Premier League computer projections show the ‘Bix Six’ of Manchester United, Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur, and Arsenal splitting up.
Data experts foresee a major reshuffling in English football this season, with Liverpool missing out on Champions League qualification and Chelsea and maybe Tottenham Hotspur failing to qualify for the Europa League.
FiveThirtyEight predicts Brighton and Hove Albion will break into the top six this season, with Newcastle United climbing into the top four.
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They also believe Arsenal will win their first championship since 2004.
Chelsea are expected to finish the season ahead of west London rivals Fulham and Brentford, but eighth place would see them lose out on European competition entirely next season unless they win the Champions League in June.
They replicate seasons hundreds of times using their ratings for each team to produce their projection for each team’s ultimate point total and league place.
The Premier League receives four Champions League spots, which are expected to go to Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United, and Newcastle, in that order.
If the FA Cup and League Cup are won by clubs that have already qualified for the Champions League, the two Europa League spots are awarded to the next highest-placed teams in the league.
Position Club Points
1 Arsenal 85
2 Manchester City 82
3 Manchester United 74
4 Newcastle United 70
5 Liverpool 66
6 Brighton and Hove Albion 64
7 Tottenham Hotspur 63
8 Chelsea 58
Manchester United and Newcastle are in the League Cup semi-finals, and the Red Devils, along with their city rivals and Arsenal, are still in the FA Cup, having been drawn against each other in round four.
If Spurs finish seventh and do not qualify for a higher tournament through their cup performances, they will participate in the Europa Conference League.
Liverpool is now tenth, but is expected to finish fifth, one place ahead of Brighton.
Chelsea are predicted to finish seventh. In the final 16 of the Champions League, they will meet Borussia Dortmund.
Leeds United are expected to finish 13th, six points clear of the drop zone.